Answer :
The 90% confident interval is (0.6754, 0.7496).
The confidence interval of proportion:
The formula for the confidence interval for a proportion in a population is as follows:
p ± z(α/2) * √[ (p * ( 1 - p) / n) ]
Here,
p = sample proportion
n = size of the sample
z(α/2) = critical value of the normal distribution at α/2 (significant level divided by 2).
The value of z(α/2) is obtained from the standard normal distribution tables.
For getting the Sample proportion we know the formula,
Sample proportion(p) = Favoring the incumbent / Total voters
p = 285/400
p = 0.7125
Critical value at 90% confidence interval = 1.645 (From the z-distribution table)
The Margin of Error (ME) is the range in which the true population proportion may lie. It can be calculated as follows:
ME = z * SE
(SE) = √[ p * ( 1 - p ) / n ]
SE = √ [(0.7125 * 0.2875) / 400] = 0.0226
ME = 1.645 * 0.0226
ME = 0.0371
Confidence Interval = Sample Proportion ± Margin of Error
CI = 0.7125 ± 0.0371
0.7496
CI = (0.6754, 0.7496)
Hence, the 90% confidence interval for the proportion of all voters who support the incumbent governor is(0.6754, 0.7496).
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